It’s the beginning of a new series and another opportunity for India to continue their good run at their backyard. The hype before an India-Australia series is normal because whenever Australia comes to India, people get very excited, imagining that it is going to be like the series against the Aussies of old. But the fact of the matter is that the record of the Australians of his generation in sub-continent conditions, be it against Sri Lanka, Pakistan or India, have been very poor and I believe it’s going to take a monumental effort for them to change it.
The biggest advantage of the Australia side of 2001 was that there were pressure from both ends of time of their of bowling.
To win Test matches one needs 20 wickets and that is why India is so good as their of bowlers do that consistently. The Australian side of that era , along with Shane Warne, was terrific. The fast bowlers kept the pressure at one end and Warne, despite being under pressure on at one end, bowled well. It is surprising to see that Nathan Lyon’s strike rate in these condition’s has been better than Warne’s unfortunately the results have not been the same!
The good thing for the Australia will be the pitches they play on. During their last trip, the pitches were absolute rank-turners but of late the Indian team has played on good pitches. But the Australians will face an Indian team that has lost nothing in the recent past, and this will be their main problem. India in India believe they can get out of any situation and their performance has proved that time and again.
Australia will need Lyon to bowl well. That, however, will not be enough. If they are to make an impact as a team, it will take Lyon picking 30 wickets in four tests and at he same time for the likes of Mitchell Starc, Josh Hazelwood and maybe another spinner to stand up and be counted.
The Test for the Aussies will be mental as well. A loss early on will make the slide quicker, as it did for England. Cook and his team lost momentum as the five Test series progressed. Performing became very difficult, and it could turn out to be the same for Australia. I don’t generally make predictions in sport, but India can make it for them.